Politics

Trump Approval Plummets to Record Low of 31% as GOP Braces for Midterm Wipeout, Reuters/Ipsos Poll Finds

Gary FranchiOctober 20, 20268 views
Trump's approval rating hits record low ahead of midterms.
Trump's approval rating hits record low ahead of midterms. | Next News Editorial Illustration
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President Trump's approval rating has fallen to a record low of thirty-one percent with just over two weeks until voters decide which party will control Congress next year, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Sunday. The survey, which Reuters reported exclusively, found that Americans are worried about high gasoline prices and appear ready to punish the Republican Party in the November midterms.

The finding ricocheted across the political press almost immediately, with outlets on both sides of the aisle picking up the number and framing it as a warning sign for the GOP. The Independent reported that just thirty-three percent approve of Trump's handling of his presidency, citing the same survey data. The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll released Sunday likewise showed Trump sitting at thirty-three percent approval, with just more than two weeks until voters decide which party will control Congress. GV Wire carried the Reuters exclusive under the headline that Trump faces record low approval ratings amid rising gasoline prices, affecting the Republican Party's chances in elections.

The Reuters report, attributed to the wire service's polling partnership with Ipsos, described a president whose standing with the public has eroded as Americans grapple with pain at the pump. The poll places Trump's approval at the lowest point of his presidency in the Reuters/Ipsos series, a symbolic threshold that Republican strategists have privately feared as the party defends narrow majorities in both chambers.

The coverage spread quickly through aggregators and wire services. GV Wire, a California-based news outlet, amplified the Reuters exclusive within hours, emphasizing the connection between gasoline prices and Republican electoral prospects. The Independent, a British-owned outlet with a large American readership, reported the thirty-three percent figure from what it described as a poll on Trump's handling of his presidency. The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos survey, released Sunday, put the president at thirty-three percent approval, a figure consistent with the Reuters finding within the poll's margin of error.

The underlying survey data has not been independently reviewed by Next News Network, and the specific methodology, sample size and margin of error for the Reuters/Ipsos poll were not detailed in the initial reporting. Polls are snapshots of public sentiment at a given moment, and approval ratings can shift as economic conditions, gas prices and campaign dynamics evolve in the final weeks before an election.

What is clear from the coverage is that the thirty-one percent figure has become the central data point in the closing argument of the midterm season. Reuters framed the poll as evidence that Americans are prepared to punish Republicans at the ballot box. The Independent and the Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll put the number slightly higher at thirty-three percent, but the direction is the same: a president entering the final stretch of his first midterm campaign with approval ratings in the low thirties, a level that historically signals deep trouble for the party in power.

Gasoline prices have emerged as the proximate cause in the Reuters reporting. The wire service noted that Americans worried about high gasoline prices appeared ready to punish the Republican Party. That framing places the midterm contest squarely in the realm of pocketbook politics, where voters judge the party in power by the cost of filling their tanks and feeding their families.

GV Wire's coverage underscored the electoral stakes, reporting that the record low approval ratings come as rising gasoline prices affect the Republican Party's chances in elections. The outlet, which aggregates wire content for a California audience, carried the Reuters exclusive as part of its Sunday political coverage.

The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll, released the same day, offered a slightly different number but the same story. At thirty-three percent approval, Trump remains mired in the low thirties, a range that no modern president has escaped without significant midterm losses. The Post's report noted that the survey came with just more than two weeks until voters decide which party will control Congress next year.

The Independent's coverage emphasized the record low nature of the finding, reporting that just thirty-three percent approve of Trump's handling of his presidency. The outlet framed the poll as a poll saying so, attributing the figure to the Reuters/Ipsos survey rather than presenting it as an independently verified fact.

Taken together, the coverage shows a single polling release traveling through the American media ecosystem in a matter of hours, from a Reuters exclusive to aggregators, foreign-owned outlets and the Washington Post's own polling partnership. Each outlet carried the same core number and the same core interpretation: a president in trouble, a party bracing for losses, and an electorate focused on gas prices.

Next News Network could not independently verify the approval figures or the methodology behind the Reuters/Ipsos poll.

For Republicans, the final two weeks of the midterm campaign will be a test of whether the poll's snapshot holds or whether the party can close the gap with a late message on the economy. For Democrats, the survey offers a data point to amplify as they make their closing argument that control of Congress hinges on checking an unpopular president. For voters, the number is a reminder that the cost of gasoline and the direction of the country are likely to be on the ballot alongside the names of their representatives.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll is the latest in a series of surveys showing Trump's approval in the low thirties, a level that has historically preceded midterm losses for the president's party. Whether that history repeats itself in November will depend on turnout, the trajectory of gas prices and the final blitz of campaign advertising in competitive districts.

Our Take

The corporate media's gleeful amplification of a thirty-one percent approval rating is a textbook example of the left's election-season playbook: leak a poll, repeat it across every friendly outlet, and hope voters mistake repetition for reality. Reuters, The Independent, the Washington Post and the usual aggregation shops are all singing from the same sheet music, treating a single survey as though it were the final verdict of the American people. What they will not tell you is that polls are snapshots, not prophecies, and that the same media ecosystem spent years telling you Trump could never win, only to be proven wrong at the ballot box. Gas prices are a real concern for working families, but the solution is not a Democratic Congress that would strangle American energy production and send prices even higher. The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day, and Republicans should treat this survey not as a death sentence but as a wake-up call to get out the vote and make the case that conservative policies, not the media's narrative, are what put money back in Americans' pockets.

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Gary Franchi
Gary Franchi

Chief White House Correspondent at Next News Network. Executive Producer and Lead Anchor.

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