In an opinion piece for the Wall Street Journal, a Democrat pollster is predicting a huge red wave will sweep America this November.
Doug Schoen writes in his piece, “The Republican Party is on the cusp of a substantial midterm election victory that could rival their wins in 1994 and 2010.”
Schoen continued, writing, based on the RealClearPolitics average, Republicans have gained 3 points in generic-ballot polling over the last month. Republicans were up 1.8 points as of Monday, compared with 1.3 points for Democrats in September.
He also cited ABC News/Washington Post polls showing that Republicans hold the advantage where it’s most needed. Among likely voters nationwide, the GOP led by five points, but by 21 points in “competitive” congressional districts. In other battleground-district polls, CBS News, Economist/YouGov and CNN, the GOP had a much narrower lead, but one that remained consistent…
He noted that the Republicans will gain 28 seats if there are no upsets on either side and the toss-ups are evenly split. In the event that the Republicans sweep the toss-up races, their majority would increase to 259-176. However, a Democratic sweep of the toss-ups would still leave the GOP with a seven-seat majority…
He also noted in his piece that in recent years, voting patterns in the Senate have been more aligned with those in presidential races. Republicans have never held fewer than 50 seats or more than 54 seats since 2014. With the chamber split 50-50, a net gain of one seat would give the GOP control. Based on RealClearPolitics’ predictions, the Republican majority will increase by two seats, from Georgia and Nevada, and hold on to 52 seats.
To piggyback off of Schoen’s predictions, a new poll from the NY Times showed Republicans leading Democrats 49% to 45% in this year’s midterm election.
As we reported earlier Nancy Pelosi didn’t react kindly to this news and tried to brush it off..
